Introduction

Can Cash Flow Forecast Help Your Startup? Let’s see. Starting a new business or kicking off a new high-growth project is an exhilarating experience. However, such a project comes with its share of challenges. You should note that one-third of all companies experience failure in the first two years of life: half will not even celebrate their sixth anniversary.

Why is this so? There are a variety of reasons why so many companies and projects fail. The main one is undoubtedly the lack of a good business concept. Even so, many companies with good ideas have to close down. Too often, the manager is poor cash flow management.

This article explains to you how to forecast small and medium-sized business (SMB) owners and how to rely on intelligent cash flow forecasting processes to ensure the sustainability of their business. More specifically, it focuses on:

  • The main reasons why most businesses fail,
  • Why good cash flow forecasting is critical to success,
  • How to implement a good cash flow forecasting process.

Effective cash flow management is necessary for the survival of any business. Fortunately, a new generation of web-based cash flow forecasting solutions can make this process manageable for SMB owners and their teams.

Most importantly, they can directly and positively impact your company’s bottom line. Read on to get a better idea of putting cash flow management to work for your business.

To build a sound cash flow forecasting system, you also need to consider three cash outflows that will vary depending on your type of business.

Set Up Your Cash Flow Forecast Process

The first step is to prepare a cash flow budget using an estimate of cash inflows and outflows for a given period. Use sales and production forecasts to create a cash flow budget and your necessary expenses and accounts receivable assumptions.

“When you make a sales projection for cash flow, be realistic. Think about the worst possible scenario regarding expected sales based on your history of monthly averages. If this historical data is not available, use conservative estimates instead of your business plan.

Ultimately, the important thing is that the projected cashout can be made so that your forecast is accurate. You are sure that your company has enough liquidity at its disposal to operate at all times. If your expectations are unrealistic, it could easily lead to a cash overdraft.

When forecasting cash inflows, it’s essential to think about deadlines. Divide your accounts receivable into different categories of payment terms, such as 30 days, 60 days, 90 days, and 180 days, so you can know how long it will take for planned entries to become usable funds. Please also consider other sources of cash inflows than sales, such as:

  • Government Grants and Bank Loans
  • Supplier discounts
  • The injection of funds by a new partner
  • Disbursement categories

To build a sound cash flow forecasting system, you also need to consider three cash outflows that will vary depending on your type of business.

1- Fixed Costs Forecast

These costs are usually paid monthly and rarely vary due to fluctuations in sales levels. Fixed costs typically include expenses such as:

  1. Telephone and Internet services
  2. Rent, heating and electricity
  3. Advertising and marketing costs

2 – Variable Cost Forecast

These costs vary according to the fluctuations between sales and production volume. Variable fees typically include expenses such as:

The cost of direct labour, which is paid at the beginning of the production process

Raw materials, which are paid for later if you purchase them with a settlement condition of 30 to 90 days or more, Commissions paid to representatives, and Shipping costs.

3 – Intermittent Costs Forecast

These costs are usually associated with specific or seasonal events. Periodic fees typically include expenses such as:

  1. Dividends
  2. Business travel
  3. The purchase of equipment
  4. Insurance
  5. Employee training programs
  6. Research and development
  7. Special projects

Analyze, Define and Predict before Forecast

Now you are ready to analyze, define and predict the amounts of your cash flow over time according to your business assumptions. Be sure to provide details to explain any one-time occurrences or recurring payments that are unclear.

“Cash flow Forecast is essential for seasonal businesses — those that experience significant fluctuations in activity at certain times of the year, such as the holiday season or for summer businesses. Cash flow management for this type of business can be complex, but it’s achievable with a bit of discipline.

Import Your Bank Statement

The cash flow Forecast should be seen as a cycle. The first step is, of course, to base your forecast on estimates from your business plan. But that’s not all! It would help if you also imported your bank statements into your cash flow forecasting tool to compare what was predicted to what happened.

Comparing forecasts with reality every week will ensure that you track your projections accurately. For example, if you have scheduled a $500 entry on May 14, verify that this entry took place by looking at that day’s bank statement. You will have three options:

The entrance has indeed taken place. No adjustments are required.

The entrance did not take place. The entry must be postponed to a later date or deleted entirely if you no longer expect to receive it. The entry took place, but the amount differed from what you had planned.

Reconcile Your Bank Statements

Reconciling your bank statements regularly will ensure that your cash flow data is accurate. Otherwise, your cash balances may be much lower than you expected. As a result, you may end up with NSF cheques or overdraft fees. A bank reconciliation will also allow you to detect certain types of fraud after the fact: this information can be used to set up better controls on your inflow of funds and payments.

“Essentially, reconciliation compares the information in your accounting documents to your bank statements that show all the transactions in the last month. It allows you to see if there are any discrepancies between the two and adjust your accounting documents as required.

Using a cash flow forecasting tool is a good way to automate reconciliation processes and avoid disadvantages and inefficiencies in the reconciliation process. This way, you will avoid frequent errors in the balance sheet and general inaccuracies for the financial close.

“Automating account reconciliation is a critical step in achieving the integrity of your balance sheet — and ultimately — a timely financial close. It can provide a solid foundation for evaluating business performance, supporting organizational decisions, and meeting external reporting requirements. »

Review Your Company’s Business Situation

Once you’ve followed the previous steps, you’ll be able to correctly interpret what your software says about your business — specifically about your cash flow and cash position. The difference between cash flow and cash position Cash flow and position are closely linked.

The main difference is that cash flow represents the net change between cash inflows and outflows. In contrast, the cash position is an indicator of financial strength and liquidity available at any given time. “The cash position is a good indicator of stability.

A poor cash position should alarm the investor that he could run into problems. Before you can determine your weekly cash position with any degree of accuracy, you must first know the ratio of accounts receivable revenue.

A high ratio indicates a conservative credit policy and a dynamic collections department. A low ratio represents an opportunity for you to collect ageing trade receivables that unnecessarily tie up your working capital, depending on the delay dates (up to 30 days, 30 to 60 days, 60 to 90 days, and so on).

Your company’s goal is to have a strong cash position and cash flow position to assess better the company’s leverage, liquidity and profitability ratios.

Make Smarter Decisions With The Power Of AI before Forecast

If your goal is to grow the business, you need to look for new business opportunities and challenges and be ready to act quickly. To get there, you have to have these things planned. A good cash flow forecast should tell you what is feasible and what is not shortly: it should also include an emergency plan and funds for special events or projects.

It is also a good idea to approach your banking partners proactively. Thus, if you need to inject a surplus of capital, you will quickly have access to the necessary funds. Companies of all sizes can also use artificial intelligence to test multiple financial scenarios.

Artificial intelligence refers to a rapidly evolving set of technologies and algorithms that can predict outcomes and identify complex patterns based on a good history of data for business planning purposes.

The following list includes some examples of financial scenarios in which artificial intelligence can help you improve your decision-making and thus achieve an exciting return on investment.
You will be able to:

  • Identify seasonality and growth to detect recurring trends
  • Automatically categorize banking transactions based on past categorization
  • Analyze variances between planned and actual results to refine forecasts
  • Issue a warning about specific hazards or scenarios (virtual assistant.
  • Identify trade, investment and financing opportunities
  • Offer the best trades based on their duration, rate and risk
  • Identify interdependence between categories
  • Match incoming payments with invoices

Using your current forecasting scenario, you can produce others to plan your sales and anticipate their financial impacts on your supplies, human resources, etc. Ideally, your forecast should allow you to quickly generate a 3-year pro forma financial statement for trading partners.